A.A. Marcov Forecast Method of the System Ration in Estate Business Study
YAN Wei,QIAN Yu-yu
DOI:10.11835/j.issn.1674-4764.2004.02.025
Received ,Revised January 12, 2004, Accepted , Available online July 01, 2015
Volume ,2004,Pages 110-115
- Abstract
A. A. Markov Rolling Forecast Method is presented in this paper according to the dynamic characteristics of the estate business system. Test results reveal that the system quantitative forecast could be realized on the basis of previous samples, which provide a direction of the rational management in estate business. Concerning sample molding analysis and Markov Rolling Forecast Method, this paper gives a corresponding conclusion of analytic research quantitatively in order to demonstrate the formation of factors working in estate business activities and its systematic logistic connotation. Markov Rolling Forecast Method can be applied not only to short-term prediction but long term one as well, provided when the market is rather stable with no significant change during a regular period of time and when the rolling times of the state transition matrix are fairly enough.